Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.030460 0.036170 0.042120 0.048741 0.055865 0.063265 0.071500
2025-12-21 0.021803 0.029829 0.038746 0.049201 0.060956 0.073623 0.088172
2025-12-28 0.018300 0.028032 0.039385 0.053180 0.069133 0.086707 0.107260
2026-01-04 0.013156 0.023274 0.035785 0.051604 0.070440 0.091647 0.116884
2026-01-11 0.010366 0.020913 0.034626 0.052517 0.074289 0.099191 0.129182
2026-01-18 0.007997 0.018656 0.033260 0.052898 0.077283 0.105565 0.139987
2026-01-25 0.006076 0.016653 0.031953 0.053136 0.079931 0.111399 0.150049
2026-02-01 0.004378 0.014602 0.030327 0.052771 0.081688 0.116061 0.158647
2026-02-08 0.002538 0.011704 0.027146 0.050098 0.080371 0.116892 0.162616
2026-02-15 0.001569 0.010081 0.025631 0.049506 0.081555 0.120644 0.169950
2026-02-22 0.001004 0.009088 0.024969 0.049999 0.084068 0.125964 0.179110
2026-03-01 0.000607 0.008276 0.024494 0.050689 0.086787 0.131503 0.188505
2026-03-08 0.000386 0.007908 0.024833 0.052691 0.091438 0.139695 0.201432
2026-03-15 0.000150 0.007095 0.024306 0.053407 0.094404 0.145839 0.211960
2026-03-22 0.000140 0.007539 0.026104 0.057596 0.102028 0.157821 0.229583
2026-03-29 0.000001 0.006053 0.024088 0.055959 0.101765 0.159878 0.235125
2026-04-05 NaN 0.005507 0.023810 0.056911 0.104967 0.166270 0.245928
2026-04-12 NaN 0.004857 0.023210 0.057309 0.107377 0.171636 0.255458
2026-04-19 NaN 0.004232 0.022551 0.057558 0.109545 0.176671 0.264565
2026-04-26 NaN 0.003520 0.021546 0.057177 0.110792 0.180496 0.272157
2026-05-03 NaN 0.002399 0.019178 0.054389 0.108551 0.179755 0.274033
2026-05-10 NaN 0.001858 0.018154 0.053770 0.109329 0.182878 0.280671
2026-05-17 NaN 0.001573 0.017807 0.054286 0.111715 0.188080 0.289892